Sunday, August 23, 2026

OFFSHORE AQUACULTURE: A LOOMING THREAT TO STRIPED BASS

 

Over the past year or so, striped bass fishermen have been focused on efforts to rebuild the currently overfished striped bass spawning stock biomass back to its target level by the 2029 deadline specified in the fishery management plan; on the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission’s Atlantic Striped Bass Management Board’s failure to adopt a 12% harvest reduction, to make such rebuilding more likely, last October, and on the past seven years of record-low striped bass recruitment in the Chesapeake Bay, as well as the possibility that 2026 will become the eighth straight year of poor spawns.

Thus, they might be excused if they failed to notice another, stealthier threat to the health of the Atlantic migratory stock of striped bass, and that is the federal government’s efforts to initiate striped bass aquaculture in federal waters more than three miles from shore.

The issue has been rattling around the Commerce Department, and the National Marine Fisheries Service, for a few years, but it finally entered the public consciousness at the February meeting of the Management Board, where Danielle Blacklock of NOAA Fisheries Office of Aquaculture explained the administration’s interest in farming striped bass offshore:

“…we know we have a marketplace that is needing more seafood.  This has been acknowledged by the Trump administration in two executive orders.  On the right-hard side, we have Executive Order 1391…

“This came out in 2020, it called for a whole host of aquaculture-related activities, and we have done them.  There is one that is still underway, which is identification of aquaculture opportunity areas…

“We anticipate that we will continue to move around the country.  The Executive Order on the left, Executive Order 14276 calls for restoring America’s seafood competitiveness.  This has a lot of wild harvest drivers in it, but it also calls for an America First seafood strategy, which asks us to increase domestic aquaculture production and create more marketing and export opportunities.

“Those are backdrop drivers that bring us to today.  Why striped bass?  Well, there are a number of reasons.  One is that we know a lot about striped bass…It is a species that has been farmed for a long time, and we have great information feeding into the knowledge base.  We also at NOAA have been doing over the past eight years a process of identifying top marine candidate species…

“…Through voting and process of prioritizing all of those species, Atlantic striped bass has consistently risen to the top as a candidate species of interest…

“We are now in generation 8 of selective breeding, and it grows significantly faster than hybrid [with white bass] striped bass…Well, Atlantic striped bass has a higher price point.  It has a different marketplace, because hybrid striped bass is typically sold as a whole fish, and Atlantic striped bass farmed or wild is typically sold as a fillet.

“But the market value is so much higher that we are watching hybrid striped bass farms switch to Atlantic striped bass…What I flagged in 2024 is still true, that Atlantic striped bass is being farmed and it’s entering our markets today.  It’s just not coming from the Atlantic seaboard, it’s not coming from the federal waters along the Atlantic, or course, because of the moratorium on possession.”

So up to that point, Ms. Blacklock made a purely economic argument for farming striped bass, which was fine, particularly if folks who are currently farming hybrid striped bass on their inland ponds and aquaculture facilities think that they can make some more money by raising pure-strain striped bass instead.

But what Ms. Blacklock didn’t demonstrate is why striped bass ought to be farmed in the federal waters of the Exclusive Economic Zone.  After all, if folks can grow them out inland, or in the Gulf of Mexico, there’s no need to start introducing some sort of genetically manipulated “generation 8” fish into the striped bass’ natural range, where those fish could—and almost certainly would—escape and threaten the genome of the native population.

But then, Ms. Blacklock uttered the words that ought to put everyone on high alert, and make them understand that aquaculture’s threat to native fish is very, very real:

“The goal here is to balance aquaculture development with protection of wild striped bass populations and the fisheries they support.  [emphasis added]”

Because as soon as the aquaculture promoters start talking about “balance,” it’s a clear signal that they’re planning to increase the risk to the wild striped bass population, removing some existing protections in order to make it easier to successfully develop striped bass farms,

What sort of risks might the striped bass face? 

Ms. Blacklock herself mentions

“concerns about illegal harvest and enforcement; Ocean use conflicts, economic feasibility, market competition, aquatic animal health and disease, environmental impacts and escapement and genetics.”

She was quick to offer solutions for the some of the first issues on that list, but when it came to disease, escapement,  and genetics, the conversation as to why they weren’t a problem began to become far more hypothetical than concrete.

“Disease, when it comes to disease in fish nobody wants it.  It is the nightmare of the farmer, it is the nightmare of the regulator, it is very scary to everyone involved.  The way that in the United States typically we deal with disease is prevention.  We have a lot of rules and regulations about stocking density, overcrowding, water flow.

“All of these things are managed to make sure that the fish have the highest level of ability to stay healthy.  In addition, we create vaccines…We are an agency of prevention and that is where I would anticipate anything goes with Atlantic striped bass. 

“There are very few therapeutants available…It is extremely rare to use antibiotics.  But it is still something that we would have to work on for Atlantic striped bass.  [emphasis added]”

So from a disease perspective, offshore striped bass farms remain a work in progress.

The same seems to hold true about genetic concerns.

“A lot of farms currently are applying, not for striped bass but in other species, are applying for just F-1s, right having wild broodstock.”

That doesn’t seem to be the case with striped bass, where specially-bred strains of fish are being used to populate the farms.  As Ms. Blacklock noted,

“selective breeding is critical to be able to grow fish faster, having them be meatier, lighter skeletons, all of that, lower food intake.”

But those sort of custom-designed fish aren’t necessarily fish fit to survive in the wild, which can be a problem should farmed striped bass escape and their artificially selected genes enter the genome of the wild population. 

“The way that we can protect the wild population, there is a whole host of tools in the toolbox.  We have everything from many salmon farms are female only.  That is not 100% right, females can still put off eggs.  There are tools like triploidy, where you make a fish have three chromosomes so that they are sterile.

That has a 99% effectiveness rate.  It’s not 100.  But now there is new technology that has come online that we are using with other species.  It has not been applied to striped bass yet, which is 100% effective.  Through genetic knockdown G-knockdown technologies, we have the ability to just make them not grow gonads, 100% effectiveness.

Now again, we have not done that for Atlantic striped bass yet.  That research would take 4 to 7 years maybe, but the tool is there.  Another tool that we have is better understanding of what the potential impact would be through genetic risk assessments.

“…We again can put a farm in the water, know what kjnd of species it is, you need to know what the population outside is.  Is it a big population, a small population?  It’s actually arithmetic, not just big or small that we use.  You can model how much risk there is

“If you have a small population and a net, and a huge population outside, the risk is probably not very high of there being any challenges or changes in the external population.  On the converse of that, if you have a big farm and a small wild population, the genetic risk becomes much higher, if you’re not putting in sterile fish…

“In the final piece on genetics is, genetics become a risk not only from gametes, potentially, but also from escapes, right?  We don’t want any escapes.  We don’t want spillage, which is just a couple of fish every time you are feeding or treating or anything like that.  You also don’t want a catastrophic event where the whole population is released at once.

“We have also heavily invested in, as has the industry, in engineering for offshore, to make sure that you are building things in a robust nature, so that they can handle extreme weather.  We’re seeing sinking cages as becoming more of the norm.  Things aren’t staying on the surface the way they used to, so that you can get under the waves and under the swell…

“Finally, a lot of that backdrop of the science tools was not striped bass specific.  But it started with, we know a lot about Atlantic striped bass…  [emphasis added]”

So yes, the risks offshore striped bass farming poses to the wild population are very real, and come in many different forms.  Ms. Blacklock admitted that

“There are applications in the Gulf of [Mexico] for Atlantic striped bass that will use their eighth generation, ninth generation by the time they get there.  There is also a number of farms on land that are farming Atlantic stripe [sic] bass….   

“A number of farms in Texas that farm red drum are seeing mortalities, because it is so cold.  But a number of them have already switched to farming Atlantic striped bass, and the stripers are surviving.”

The fact that bass can be and are being farmed in existing on-shore facilities, and in farms located outside the range of the coastal migratory stock, raise questions about why it is necessary to consider farms on the Atlantic coast, which could cause some level of harm to the wild population.  That’s particularly true when one considers Ms. Blacklock’s comments that few farms would likely be located north of North Carolina, because water temperatures would probably be too low to support robust year-round growth.

Yet such Atlantic coast farms in federal waters are being considered, despite the fact that a technical memorandum created by NOAA advises

“For offshore operations, it is useful to distinguish between chronic, low-level seepage of escapees and rare, high magnitude catastrophic releases, because these pathways differ in detectability, dispersal potential, and the timing of exposure that drives genetic risk.  Seepage most often results from small holes, net abrasion, predator related tearing, and routine activities such as handling and lifting, creating a persistent trickle of escapees that can be difficult to detect directly yet still sustain contact with wild conspecifics.  Catastrophic events are more commonly linked to structural failure or mooring failure, collisions, and extreme weather, and they can release large numbers of fish over short periods, overwhelming recapture capacity and increasing the likelihood that mature escapees enter migratory corridors or spawning habitats during sensitive windows. 

Escape events are among the most widely recognized ecological risks associated with marine finfish aquaculture, with outcomes shaped by species behavior, farm design and durability, siting and hydrodynamic conditions, operational practices, and interactions with predators such as sharks, marine mammals, and seabirds.  Ecological consequences have been well documented across freshwater, estuarine, and marine systems, including competition with conspecifics, habitat displacement, disease and parasite transmission, and genetic introgression.  Although domesticated fish often show reduced individual fitness and survival compared to wild stocks, even limited interbreeding can erode local adaption, homogenize genetic structure, and reduce the long-term resilience of wild populations.

“For offshore aquaculture of native striped bass, these risks warrant particular attention.  Striped bass are highly mobile and migratory, with populations ranging from the Gulf of St. Lawrence (Canada) to the St. John’s River (Florida).  Resident populations occur in southern systems such as Albemarle Sound, North Carolina, while northern populations migrate extensively along the Atlantic coast.  Escaped individuals could therefore disperse widely, interact with multiple genetically distinct subpopulations, and introduce risks of maladaptation or loss of genetic structure  [emphasis added, references omitted]”

Given those very real and very significant risks, and give the fact that alternative siting of striped bass farms is available on land and in the Gulf of Mexico, far from the Atlantic coastal migratory stock, the administration’s efforts to establish striped bass farms in federal waters off the East Coast seem to make very little sense.

Certainly, members of the Management Board expressed some concerns about the proposal.

For Virginia fisheries manager Joeseph Grist, it was a matter of fish farms potentially squeezing out traditional commercial fishermen.  He expressed concern that

“this almost sounds like we’re popping up the next Walmart in the ocean versus all of our generational traditional inland fisheries and families, the mom and pops that depend on striped bass harvest and the price point they get to survive through the year.

“…This could be a huge risk to the individual watermen that are out here in the various states that depend on this as part of their business plan during the year…once one of these gets up and running and they start making the profit, I can see the price of striped bass going down at a point they could take it out to compete [sic] everybody else.”

Ms. Blacklock assured Mr. Grist that NOAA doesn’t plan on that sort of thing happening, but never suggested that it wouldn’t.  And reality doesn’t always stick to the plan.

Dr. Jason McNamee, the Rhode Island fishery manager, made a supposedly tongue-in-cheek comment, saying

“I had a thought.  It’s funny to me, I don’t know if it’s going to be funny to anyone else.  But when you offered a comment about 100% effectiveness of some of the genetic, you know manipulation that you can do on these animals, I was just wondering if you saw Jurassic Park.  It’s a joke, sorry.”

And maybe it was a joke, but in the movie Jurassic Park, the “100% effective” genetic safeguards weren’t 100% effective, and that led to all sorts of problems.  I suspect that Dr. McNamee’s “joke” contained a deeper message.

Emerson Hasbrouck, Governor’s Appointee from New York, was also a skeptic of offshore striped bass aquaculture, saying,

“My concerns are very similar to what Joe and Jay just voiced.  You know all morning here we’ve been talking about rebuilding a wild stock of striped bass.  It may not be officially the intent of NOAA to compete with wild harvest.

“But the reality is that once all these additional striped bass, if they come into the market or when they come into the market, they are going to compete with wild harvest striped bass, and they are going to compete with our commercial fishing industry…There is going to be a market impact here.

“Is there kind of a hidden message here that we don’t need to rebuild striped bass wild stock for commercial harvest, because we’re queuing up aquaculture to replace wild harvest in the marketplace.  That doesn’t sit very good with me.  The offshore culture that we’re talking about here is going to have an impact on markets and market conditions…”

Again, Ms. Blacklock denied any hidden messages, and denied any intention to undercut the commercial fishery in the marketplace.  But as the old saying goes,

“The road to Hell is paved with good intentions.”

Other Management Board members raised other concerns, but the discussion soon reached its end, only to be continued at the May Management Board meeting, where some sort of response to NOAA’s presentation and technical memo was contemplated.  The discussion began with Toni Kerns, the ASMFC’s Fisheries Policy Director, making some suggestions for items that the Management Board might want to include in a comment letter.

“I just want to point out a couple of areas where I think the Board may want to go back and reread the memo and focus potential comments on…

“Then I’ll propose a timeline for receiving those comments.  In terms of economic analysis, the Board did request an economic analysis from NOAA.  I’m not sure at this time they’re prepared to do an economic analysis, unless they know they are going to be moving forward with some sort of plan.

“But the report doesn’t have any published U.S. production costs and economic analysis that they do have in there relies on cost estimates that have been extrapolated from other species like red drum, greater amberjack and salmon operations.  But we don’t have any cost study for striped bass.

“The report talks about using sterilization technologies, in order to make sure the popuations that are in the net pens aren’t breeding with wild fish, but the report also states that the technologies have not been testedIf those technologies haven’t been tested then what types of risk does that put on the wild stock with possible escapement?

“The report looks at thermal modeling, but it only uses data from 2020 to 2023, so four years of ocean temperature data is a pretty short baseline for a long-term [siting] decision, especially given our known uncertainty with climate…especially when those [siting] areas are mostly off our southern states.

“…Some of the disease therapy information that is being suggested, in terms of what would be put into the water has not been tested by the FDA in marine striped bass

“Then lastly is the habitat and protected species.  For some of the areas that are being suggested for [siting], it is critical right whale habitat that overlaps along the Atlantic coast, so offshore permitting processes may face a lot of scrutiny under Section 7 consultations, as well as containment risks…  [emphasis added]”

The comment letter, addressed to Ms. Blacklock, was ultimately drafted, and approved by the Management Board at its August meeting.  It cited several important concerns, including

Enforcement Concerns

“Enforcement capacity in the EEZ is currently limited, and aquaculture sites would create additional enforcement responsibilities, either increasing costs or diverting resources from other enforcement priorities.  Since the EEZ is currently closed to striped bass fishing, there is potential for offshore aquaculture to be used as cover for some illegal fishing.  The memorandum’s discussion of traceability, monitoring, compliance, and enforceability lacks sufficient detail to evaluate whether these programs would be practical or effective…

“The memorandum does not clearly identify which agencies would be responsible for carrying out these monitoring and enforcement activities or how they would be funded.  Historically, federally permitted activities often result in states and interstate commissions assuming substantial administrative, regulatory, enforcement, and financial responsibilities without corresponding federal resources.  Additionally, there is the question of whether all states on the Atlantic coast have the authority to enforce and monitor striped bass aquaculture operations…Many states’ enforcement capabilities are already stretched very thin with limited resources.  These implementation burdens must be fully evaluated before advancing any offshore striped bass aquaculture program…

Economic Concerns

“The memorandum does not adequately address or consider the economic consequences of potential offshore aquaculture on the wild fishery.  Increased production of aquaculture-raised striped bass has the potential to flood seafood markets, reducing the value of wild-caught striped bass—a premium product that supports commercial fishermen throughout the Atlantic coast—and directly impacting the wild-caught striped bass harvest fisheries (the mom-and-pop businesses)…

“Rather than creating new economic opportunities, offshore striped bass aquaculture may shift economic benefits from traditional fishing communities to private aquaculture operations… 

User Conflicts

“User conflicts must be addressed in greater detail.  The memorandum downplays user conflicts that offshore aquaculture for striped bass would present, especially at a time when user conflicts due to other ocean uses (e.g., offshore wind) are at the forefront.  Access to traditional fishing grounds would be reduced for commercial and recreational fisheries, particularly for mobile gear users and for year-round fisheries in warmer waters…

“To inform this issue, more details are needed regarding what offshore farms would look like in practice, and which uses would be allowed or restricted within these shared-use areas.  NOAA should clarify whether exclusion zones would be established around farm infrastructure, and if farms are expected to aggregate pelagic finfish species, whether recreational or commercial fishing would be prohibited in the surrounding area.  Regarding vessels, available data on the frequency or risk of vessel collisions with offshore aquaculture infrastructure should be considered…

Project Siting

“The current description provides limited detail beyond general, high-level considerations, and appears to underestimate the engineering and operational challenges associated with locating striped bass net pens in offshore environment…

“The areas identified are also highly susceptible to severe weather events, including hurricanes and winter storms.  Notably, the strongest hurricanes often stay offshore, which could result in aquaculture facilities taking a direct hit.  NOAA should evaluate and describe the expected resilience of offshore aquaculture operations under extreme storm conditions, including the measures that would be implemented to minimize infrastructure damage, fish escapes, and environmental impacts.

Aquaculture Industry Specifics

“Additional information is needed regarding the level of industry interest in offshore striped bass aquaculture and the basis for pursuing this initiative.  It is unclear whether there is currently an interested party seeking to develop an offshore striped bass aquaculture operation, or whether the interest is to establish a regulatory framework for potential future applicants…

Ecological Concerns

“The memorandum does not address one of the longstanding concerns associated with farming high-value carnivorous marine fish species:  dependence on fish-based feeds.  Although feed technology continues to evolve, forage fish remain an important component of diets used to optimize growth and product quality.  The ecological tradeoffs associated with diverting forage resources into aquaculture deserve careful consideration.  Maintaining healthy forage fish populations benefits not only wild striped bass but also numerous marine mammals, seabirds, and other ecologically and economically important species.

“Regarding habitat, offshore units/structures tend to act as fish ‘attractor’ devices through complex structure, food availability or prey availability and could have unforeseen effects on essential fish habitat (EFH) in close proximity to other bottom structure or pelagic species…Management plans for any offshore facility should require permittees to have adequate funds (e.g., assurance bond) committed to ensure removal of fish and decommissioning of the facilities that are abandoned, obsolete, or storm-damaged or had their permits revoked…

Protected Species

“Offshore aquaculture operations create the potential for entanglement and other interactions with species protected under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) and Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA).  The current information in the memorandum is limited on this issue and remains a potentially significant ongoing concern…

Biological Risks:  Escapement, Genetic Concerns, and Disease

“Significant biological risks remain unresolved.  Disease transmission, parasite transfer, escape of cultured fish, and genetic interactions with wild striped bass populations continue to present legitimate concerns.  Likewise, questions remain regarding the adequacy and consistency of federal oversight related to therapeutants, antibiotics, and other chemicals that may be used in commercial aquaculture operations.  Wild fish in close proximity to facilities could be exposed to therapeutics environmentally or through excess feed escapement and potential parasitic infection with unknown effects.  This also applies to therapeutics used to prevent parasitic infections, which can be a problem in culture facilities.  These issues warrant additional scientific evaluation before large-scale offshore production is considered.

“The memorandum should explain how genetic tracking would be implemented in practice.  If ‘pure-strain’ stocks are non-interbreeding (e.g., sterile), NOAA should evaluate whether this would affect the economic viability of production, particularly if such fish are considered genetically modified…If pure-strain stocks are not sterile, there are concerns regarding the risk of escapement and potential impacts on wild striped bass populations and information is needed on average escapement rates from similar net-pen aquaculture systems…

“Information should also be provided regarding how disease events would be managed given the apparent lack of approved antibiotics for striped bass…

“The memorandum notes that there may be some small losses (escapements) that may mingle with the wild population, but that risk should be given more weight and consideration, as well as the risk of a catastrophic failure (which would be a real risk considering weather events and potential vessel interactions).  There is no way to guarantee that aquaculture striped bass would not mix with the wild population, and these risks are much greater in open water systems.  Containment rules as well as genetic modification of cultured fish (triploids and diploids) or potential sterilization techniques are not necessarily validated for striped bass in large-scale production culture situations.

Policy and Regulatory Roles

“Strong regulatory barriers for starting these types of operations exist, as they should if they are to be done properly.  Many of the regulatory concepts presented in the memorandum remain vague with respect to implementation.  There appears to be limited direct regulatory authority by NOAA or the Commission over offshore aquaculture operations…

“The memorandum notes that the Commission may wish to consider whether existing authorities could be used to develop monitoring and enforcement programs specific to striped bass aquaculture.  However, it is indicated that such actions would serve primarily to ‘influence’ federal partners rather than to establish mandatory requirements…

Conclusion

“In summary, offshore net pen aquaculture of striped bass has a very limited operational history and no demonstrable record of large-scale, long-term success in the United States.  The Commission has substantial concerns including risks to wild striped bass populations, commercial fisheries, seafood markets, marine ecosystems, and protected species, enforcement concerns, as well as the potential for significant regulatory and financial obligations for states.  Based on the information currently available, those risks are not adequately balanced by the potential public benefits described in the memorandum.  Given these risks and unresolved issues described above, the Commission does not support moving forward with consideration of offshore striped bass aquaculture at this time  [emphasis in original sector headings, added to text]”

NOAA and the current administration clearly want to move forward with offshore striped bass aquaculture, although it is not clear that anyone has yet applied for permission to engage in such activities off the U.S. Atlantic coast.  The ASMFC has responded with appropriate caution, acting as a responsible steward for the striped bass resource, and as a responsible representative for existing striped bass fisheries.

It is not at all clear how NOAA will respond to the ASMFC’s letter to Ms. Blacklock.  However, we can only hope that the ASMFC will continue its present, risk-averse approach to offshore striped bass aquaculture, and continue to protect the interests of the striped bass and striped bass fishermen, whether commercial or recreational.

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