I’m drafting this post aboard an Amtrak train, headed from Washington
back up to New York’s Penn Station, where I’ll grab another train out to Long
Island. For the last few days, I’ve been
attending
the spring meeting of the National Marine Fisheries Service’s Highly Migratory
Species Advisory Panel, where we spent much of the meeting’s first day
talking about bluefin tuna.
For recreational fishermen, the news was good.
The recreational bluefin tuna fishery was in a bit of disarray
last year, after unusually
high landings in the General, Harpoon, and Angling categories in 2024 caused
the United States to exceed its quota, established by the International
Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas, by 141.2 metric tons. 78% of that overage, or 110.1 metric tons,
was attributable to the Angling Category.
Because ICCAT requires that any nation that overfishes its annual ICCAT
quota must pay the overage back in the following year, and because the United
States allocates the payback across sectors in proportion to each sector’s
overage, that meant that the 2025 Angling Category quota had to be reduced from
297.4 metric tons to just 187.3 mt.
In addition, the early season fishing for bluefin in the
lower mid-Atlantic was extremely good in early 2025, leading to the Angling
Category Trophy allocation for the southern region to be quickly exceeded. There were also significant early landings in
the Large School/Small Medium Category.
Because a new administration had just come into power in Washington,
bringing along not only the usual bureaucratic disruption that occurs during
any administration change, but also a temporary ban on all new regulations,
NMFS couldn’t deal with those landings on a timely basis, leaving managers with
even less Angling Category fish to work with.
That left the managers walking a very fine line. They wanted to let recreational fishermen
catch their entire 2025 allocation, and allow the season to run as long as
possible, to provide anglers along the entire East Coast a chance to
participate in the fishery and so maximize social and economic returns. At the same time, they had to be very careful
not to exceed the overall 2025 quota, for ICCAT rules provided that, if
any nation exceeded its quota two years in a row, that nation could be required
to pay back a minimum of 125%, not merely 100%, of the overage in
the following year.
NMFS
ultimately adopted a 1-fish bag limit and 27- to 73-inch size limit for private
boats, with an extra 27- to 47-inch bluefin for for-hire vessels, and even
with those restrictive rules had to close the Angling Category fishery in early
August. A lot of fishermen, for-hire
vessel operators, and folks in the fishing tackle industry were very unhappy
with that outcome.
However, it turned out that NMFS knew exactly what it was
doing.
We
learned at the HMS Advisory Panel meeting that the Angling Category landings
were just 101% of the category’s 2025 allocation, meaning that anglers were
allowed to land every pound of fish that they were entitled to, but their
overharvest was so small that it was essentially meaningless. At the same time, the combined United States
landings were only 94% of the adjusted 2025 quota, so we avoided exceeding
the quota for a second consecutive year, and will not have to pay back any
overage at all.
Thus, in 2026, the Angling Category will be able to fish on
its full bluefin tuna allocation. And
the news gets better, for while
the 2023, 2024, and 2025 allocations were based on an overall United States base
quota of 1,341 mt, the 2026, 2027, and 2028 allocations will be based on the
higher 1,490.38 mt base quota that was established at the November 2025 ICCAT
meeting.
The
Angling Category is allocated 22.6% of the overall United States quota, so the
increase in base quota means that the Angling Category’s quota should be bumped
up from 297.4 to 341.3 metric tons this year, although the
regulations needed to implement the increase won’t be finalized until sometime
in late summer or early fall.
However, those regulations won’t be in place throughout the
season. Now that the Advisory Panel has
had an opportunity to provide their thoughts on 2026 management measures, we
can expect NMFS to put together a suite of rules intended to keep the season
open through December 31, if that is at all possible.
A lot of different considerations will come into play when
those management measures are being drafted.
One priority is allowing anglers to fully utilize, but not
exceed, their entire quota. There is no simple
formula for accomplishing that goal and, because several factors such as
weather and the local availability of fish are beyond NMFS’ control, setting
effective quotas is something of a mixture of art and science.
Sector allocations, as well as the base quota itself, is
measured in weight rather than in the number of fish, so regulations that focus
on harvesting School category bluefin, rather than Large School and Small
Medium fish, tend to favor a longer season, while those that allow a
significant harvest of larger fish are more likely to lead to anglers exceeding
their quota. At the same time, once one
gets up to Massachusetts and into the Gulf of Maine, School bluefin become more
and more difficult to find, with larger fish dominating the fishery; School
bluefin-oriented regulations can make it more difficult for northern New
England anglers to harvest legal fish, making some sort of compromise
necessary.
Historically, there has also been a tendency to favor
for-hire vessels over private boats, on the theory that for-hire anglers are
more likely to book trips if they can take more fish home. We can expect that trend to continue in 2026. There was also some talk at the meeting of
providing party/head boats with more liberal regulations than those that govern
the charter boat fleet, as the party boats carry more passengers and arguably
need even more liberal regulations than the charters in order to sell trips
targeting bluefin.
In an effort to keep such special privileges from getting
out of hand, perhaps to the point that they disadvantage the private boat
fleet, I suggested that such special regulations be limited to a season that
opens later in the year, after private vessels and traditional “six-pack”
charters have had abundant opportunities to utilize the available fish. Others made similar suggestions.
Weather is obviously out of human control, but if we get a
situation where a large body of bluefin sets up close to active fishing ports
for an extended period, and the weather permits anglers to take advantage of
the nearby abundance, landings can spike very quickly. It was just that sort of situation that caused
the big recreational overage of 2024. Fish
concentrating in a particular area, and the resultant sharp increase in
landings, can also disadvantage anglers elsewhere on the coast, as the sort of
early closure of the fishery that occurred last year can keep anglers in places
that traditionally host later-season fisheries to be denied access to the
bluefin resource.
To avoid such outcomes, I was one of a number of Advisory
Panel members who asked that managers employ regional
quotas, with northern and southern regions separated by a line drawn at 39o
18’ N, which would place the dividing line off southern New Jersey. The current regulations already allow the use
of such regions; separate quotas would help to prevent large early harvests off
Virginia and North Carolina from harming northern New England anglers, whose season
typically begins later in the summer, while also preventing high harvests off
New Jersey, New York, and New England from depriving anglers fishing in places
like Ocean City, Maryland of their fisheries, which typically begin later in
the fall.
While it is impossible to say with any certainty what 2026
regulations will look like, I’m comfortable in predicting that the bag limit
will be two, or perhaps three, fish for the private boats (maybe something like
one or two School bluefin and one Large School/Small Medium, or possibly one
fish between 27 and 73 inches, plus a second School fish), with an extra
bluefin for the for-hires, and a season that will hopefully last throughout the
year.
Depending on how many fish anglers land as the season
progresses, it is very possible that whatever management measures are
originally put in place will either be liberalized, if landings are lower than
expected, or made more restrictive, if early harvests are high. Another season closure is not out of the question,
although it would probably occur in the fall, and not at the height of the
summer season like it did in 2025.
The bottom line is that the regulations, whatever form they
ultimately take, are likely to be significantly less restrictive than they were
last year.
Before closing this post, I probably should also address
something that wasn’t mentioned at the meeting—which can
hopefully be viewed as a very good thing.
No one from NMFS even alluded to, much less addressed, any
such action at the Advisory Panel meeting.
The upcoming bluefin rulemaking, which would adopt the increased base
quota, still allocated 22.6% of that base quota to the recreational sector, and
the
discussion of upcoming rulemaking did not mention any change to how NMFS might treat
recreational landings vis-a-vis the U.S. quota in the future.
While the topic did not come up in the meetings, it did come
up in casual conversations held among Advisory Panel members over lunch,
dinner, and/or drinks. We were all
pretty much in agreement that it was better not to make any official inquiries
as to whether the idea still had legs. A
few folks suggested that the person who wrote the letter is no longer in the
same position at NMFS, and that maybe whoever replaced him is more then willing
to let a bad idea die quietly and with no fanfare at all.
Hopefully, that is the case.
The new, higher recreational allocation, and the fact that
we won’t have to be paying back any overages, suggests that 2026 (and,
hopefully, 2027 and 2028) could be a very good year for recreational bluefin
fishermen.
It would be a shame to screw things up now.