The Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (ASMFC)
plays a big role in East Coast fisheries management. It has the primary
responsibility for drafting and updating management plans for important commercial and recreational species such
as striped bass, red drum and menhaden, while also working with the regional
fishery management councils to develop management measures that will complement
federal regulations in state waters, where the National
Marine Fisheries Service’s management authority is extremely limited.
Consequently, the ASMFC also comes in for a big share of
blame when the stocks that it manages fail to thrive. It has been heavily
criticized for allowing the Atlantic striped bass stock to again become overfished,
after it had collapsed, and then been rebuilt, a few decades ago, as well as
for its
more recent decision not to reduce Atlantic menhaden landings after
a stock
assessment update revealed that the stock was substantially smaller,
and fishing mortality significantly higher, than previously believed.
Yet, while it’s not hard to find fishermen who are willing
to provide their opinions about how well the ASMFC is doing its job, it is far
more difficult to learn how those who are actually making the ASMFC’s fishery
management decisions feel about the organization’s actions. But at the
beginning of every year, the ASMFC publishes the results
of its annual survey of commissioners, giving people a look at the
insiders’ views.
Unfortunately, the
most recent survey elicited a much poorer response than its immediate
predecessors, with only 23 commissioners responding, compared to 28 in 2024 and
33 in 2023. The
memorandum reporting on its results asserted that “The lower sample
size from this year’s survey has exaggerated some of the trends in
commissioner’s responses,” and that certainly could be true, although it is
also possible that the respondents, although fewer in number, still provided a
representative sample of all the commissioners’ views.
But even assuming that the respondents did present an
exaggerated or somehow skewed view of commissioners’ opinions, it is tempting
to speculate why they answered the survey when many of their colleagues did
not. Were other commissioners just too busy at the end of the year to bother?
Or did the respondents just feel a particularly deep obligation to try to
improve the workings of the ASMFC? Do the survey results represent the views of
concerned commissioners who are actively trying to change the status quo, or
merely reflect the ire of commissioners who are displeased that one or more
management actions didn’t turn out the way they had hoped?
There is no way to be certain, but many of the most recent
responses suggest that the ASMFC might benefit if some changes were made.
The survey’s very first questions address the basic issue of
how well the ASMFC is carrying out its mission: “How comfortable are you that
the Commission has a clear and achievable plan to reach the Vision (Sustainably
managing Atlantic Coast Fisheries)?” and “How confident are you that the
Commission’s actions reflect progress toward the Vision?”
Those questions, like most of the other questions on the
survey, are scored on a 10-point scale. The scores for the first two questions
were disappointingly low, 7.18 and 6.90, respectively, and were, in both cases,
the lowest scores ever received in a time series dating back to 2009.
The questions received their highest scores over a decade
ago, with the first reaching 8.37 in 2014 and the second reaching 8.52 in 2013.
Both have been declining in fits and starts ever since, with the most recent
scores notably lower than they were in 2024. Whether that drop was
“exaggerated” due to the low number of responses, or whether the scores
accurately reflected commissioners’ evaluation of the ASMFC’s effectiveness
over the past year, remains an open question, although some written comments provided
toward the end of the survey suggest that, at least for some commissioners, the
latter was probably the case.
Responses to other questions could explain why commissioners
are pessimistic about the ASMFC achieving its goals.
ASMFC declares on its
website that “As a partnership of coastal states, we work together to
protect essential marine species, ensuring vibrant fisheries, thriving
communities, and resilient ecosystems, all through science-driven, cooperative management,
[emphasis added]” and its approach to fisheries management assumes that all
states will be willing to collaborate and manage species on a coastwide basis.
Yet when the survey asked, “How satisfied are you with the cooperation between
Commissioners to achieve the Commission’s Vision?” the question only scored a
6.55.
While not the lowest score in the time series (the same
question scored a 6.45 in 2018), it was far below the 8.20 that the same
question scored in 2012, and the 8.00s it scored in the two subsequent years.
Yet such score shouldn’t surprise anyone who has listened in on the various
species management board meetings, such as the January 2024 Atlantic Striped
Bass Management Board (Bass Board) meeting, when fisheries managers from
Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia attempted
to delay full implementation of an important addendum to the striped
bass management plan, merely because their commercial fisheries were already
open, and they didn’t want to take the bureaucratic steps needed to reduce
fishermen’s quotas mid-season.
Similarly, the question “How satisfied are you with the
Commission’s working relationship with our constituent partners (commercial,
recreational, and environmental)?” scored a time series-low 6.15, a notable
decline from the 7.92 it scored in 2013, the drop probably reflecting both how
some commissioners feel about certain elements of the fishing community as well
as how members of the fishing community feel about some commissioners. Either
way, a poor relationship between the commissioners and the public can only make
it harder for the ASMFC to do its job.
The commissioners’ views on other gauges of the ASMFC’s
effectiveness were mixed.
They had a fairly positive view of the ASMFC’s progress on
ending overfishing, awarding a score of 7.29, just slightly below the time
series average of 7.39. However, when asked whether tracking the number of
stocks where overfishing no longer occurred was “a clear metric to measure
progress,” some commissioners apparently were no longer sure, as that question
garnered a score of just 7.17, the second-lowest in a time series that ranged
from 7.09 to 8.25. The high score was awarded only last year, and it’s not
clear why the 2025 score was more than a full point lower.
Finally, there was the question, “Are you satisfied with the
Commission’s ability to manage rebuilt stocks?”
It’s a key issue. It’s often easier for managers to adopt
the measures needed to rebuild a stock that everyone agrees is in trouble, than
it is for them to keep sustainable measures in place once successful rebuilding
takes place, and fishermen yearn to increase their landings. The commissioners
have never given the ASMFC high scores on the question; the long-term average
is only 6.86, and the time series high is just 7.21, so the recent score of
7.06, as low at it is, suggests that the ASMFC might be having a little more
success in recent years.
The scored questions provide some insight into what
commissioners feel is going right and going wrong at the ASMFC, but they don’t
do anything to explain why the problems are occurring, or offer any thoughts on
how to overcome them.
Those questions are best answered by another set of
questions, which seek more detailed written comments, such as the one which
asked, “What is the single biggest obstacle to the Commission’s success in
rebuilding stocks?”
Nine of the 19 people who answered that question replied
with some variation on “politics,” with some of them citing the closely related
issues of “Short-term stakeholder interests prioritized over resource impacts,”
“balancing stakeholder desires vs taking stronger conservation measures,” and
“Lack of will power to take action to restrict fishing mortality when stock
status suggests action. Perfect recent examples striped bass [when the
Bass Board voted against landings reductions that would make it more
likely that the stock would fully rebuild by the deadline dictated by the
management plan] and [Gulf of Maine] lobster [when objections by fishermen and
some local politicians became so intense that the American
Lobster Management Board reversed course and did not impose the
measures called for in the management plan].”
Some elaborated on their views, saying that obstacles
included “Not following the science due to political and/or
commercial/recreational sector pressure,” and “Political impediments at both
the state and Federal level are complicating efforts. Lobster, Menhaden, and
Red Drum are examples.”
One commissioner provided a more detailed comment that helps
to explain the drop in the survey scores described earlier, writing,
Many of my responses are lower than usual and that is because
I have a few recent things on my mind, notably the menhaden/ERP action from the
annual meeting [where the Atlantic Menhaden Management Board failed
to reduce menhaden landings, even though such landings should have been
reduced by over 50% to meet the fishing mortality target] and Striped Bass.
There has always been a measure of this in what we do of course, but I think
there is an element of politics that is creeping in to levels that we have not
seen before, which is having negative repercussions to our making sound,
consistent decisions to promote sustainability for our important stocks.”
It seems that politics has become a serious problem at the
ASMFC.
The only other obstacle to ASMFC success cited by more than
two commissioners was climate/environmental change, which was mentioned in six
responses. But as some of the respondents noted, that is a problem that is far
beyond the ASMFC’s ability to solve.
The survey also asked, “What issue(s) should the Commission
focus more attention/time on?”
The answers were diverse, but most shared one common
characteristic: Although the commissioners had already acknowledged that there
were obstacles making it difficult for the ASMFC to reach its goals, few said
that the ASMFC should focus on finding ways to overcome them. Instead, the most
common suggestion, raised by four of the 13 respondents, was for some sort of
outreach to constituent groups.
One commissioner suggested “Outreach to create greater
understanding of what we do and cannot do.” Another expanded on that theme,
writing, “Educating the public on how the commission is structured and that it
is a state based compact not as federal body. Perhaps a series of PR pieces
that are light hearted a [sic] speak to the realities of the job and complexity
of it.” But while such outreach might help reduce the amount of criticism aimed
at the ASMFC, it’s hard to see how they might remove obstacles to the ASMFC
achieving its goals.
Four other commissioners suggested that commissioners should
be provided with more and/or better information; while that wasn’t a direct
counter to the obstacles faced by the ASMFC, better informed commissioners
probably would lead to better management decisions.
There were also three commissioners (one responding to a
different question) who complained about the problems caused by a lack of
cooperation between the commissioners, and between the ASMFC and other
management bodies. To that point, one comment noted, “We have lost the ability
to work together and compromise in best interest of the resource that we
manage. We need to figure out a different/better way to work together with the
[Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council]. Joint meetings are generally a waste
of time and money as most of the recommendations are for status quo and it is
impossible to get 60 individuals to do something different when one body or the
other has veto power over the result.”
A more detailed, and more troubling, response, which
reflects the realities of the current, conservation-averse approach to federal
fisheries management, read,
I was shocked and alarmed by some of the votes and comments
made by our federal partners at the annual meeting. Very inconsistent with
previous positions and counter to achieving sustainability goals. I don’t envy
these partners right now, so I think that it will be very important for us to
guard against putting them into positions where they will have to make
comments/votes like this again to the extent this is possible. This will
require some strategic thinking on how best to bring things forward into the
process for the foreseeable future. We are also going to have to bolster
ourselves against the loss of resources from the federal government (assessment
support, objective advice, data collection) so that we can continue to serve
our states as well as we can. The states can step up, we have the expertise, so
we should look for the opportunities to do this.
But commissioners don’t blame federal managers and federal
management bodies for all of the cooperation problems. As another noted,
“Commission Employees are amazing. However, the decorum of the states
representatives have [sic] eroded over the past 10 years and the ability to
work with states to protect everyone’s interests has declined as a result.”
Commissioners also addressed the need for better
socioeconomic data. “Socioeconomics” is a term often heard in ASMFC debates,
but there is little agreement on what it means, or how it ought to be measured.
Far too often, it seems to mean little more than “If the ASMFC does X, then I,
my company, my friends, or my sector might end up making less money.”
That sort of discussion probably hit its low point at
the Bass
Board meeting held on December 16, 2024, when New Jersey’s Legislative
Proxy, Adam Nowalsky, made a motion to initiate a new addendum to the striped
bass management plan, “in consideration of 2024 recreational and commercial
mortality while balancing socioeconomic impacts…” After another commissioner
asked, “What is it that we’re going to be balancing those socioeconomic impacts
against?” Nowalsky declined to provide an answer, responding only that “I would
defer to the Board specifically for that…I think every one of the options that
we are potentially contemplating today, or we would contemplate in this
Addendum, has a socioeconomic impact,” and undoubtedly causing some Bass Board
members to wonder why he raised the “socioeconomic” point in the first place.
In hopes of someday obtaining more meaningful socioeconomic
information, one commissioner wrote,
I’d like to see more emphasis on economic concerns. We’ve
seen economic issues take on prominence for several species, for example,
striped bass management hurting the for-hire sector in the Chesapeake and
lowering the menhaden [total allowable catch] affecting the reduction fishery
workers, but we don’t have analyses of these issues. Continuing on those
issues, what are the factors affecting an angler’s decision to go out on a
for-hire boat—is the regulations, the cost per trip or a combination of those
factors (e.g. I’ll pay $80 for a trip if I can keep X number of fish)? How much
menhaden quota does the reduction industry need to maintain employment—was the
situation as dire as they claimed?
Those are all good questions, but they only scratch the
surface of what might be asked.
As part of the recent debate over Addendum III to the
striped bass management plan, there
were proposals to award anglers fishing from for-hire vessels with
regulations that were more favorable than those governing anglers fishing from
shore or from private boats. A proposed
new amendment to the summer flounder, scup, and black sea bass and
bluefish management plans would similarly favor for-hire anglers over other
recreational fishermen. Yet the for-hire fleet is responsible for less
than 2% of all striped bass trips, and for-hire anglers also generate
only a small
proportion of the trips targeting other species. So, would management
measures that discriminate against most anglers, who take the great majority of
fishing trips, be a net economic positive because it might shore up the
for-hire fleet, or a net economic negative because it comes at the cost of, and
perhaps discourages, most members of the angling community?
And what is the cost of the ASMFC’s failure to maintain
robust fish populations?
Commissioners often argue against more restrictive
management measures because of the
immediate harm such measures might cause to the fishing industry. Yet
no one has ever asked how much harm is caused by not adopting
management measures that maintain stocks at higher levels.
In 2006, when the striped bass biomass was near its peak,
recreational fishermen took
approximately 25.8 million trips primarily targeting them; by 2025,
with the stock overfished and abundance
declining, that figure had dropped to just
under 14 million trips. How much greater would the economic benefits from
the fishery have been if the Bass Board had made the hard decisions needed to
keep striped bass abundance high enough to support nearly 26 million directed
striped bass trips per year, as was the case in 2006, instead of just the 14
million trips that were taken in 2025?
If the ASMFC developed the capability to conduct real
socioeconomic analysis, questions like those could be answered, to the benefit
of both fish and fishermen.
The ASMFC’s annual survey of commissioners provides an
important insight into the organization. It provides a look at the problems
that make it harder for the ASMFC to achieve its goals, at why those problems
occur, and at how they might be addressed.
And it provides at least a partial roadmap to making the
ASMFC a better and more effective organization than it is today.
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This essay first appeared in “From the Waterfront,” the blog
of the Marine Fish Conservation Network, which can be found at
http://conservefish.org/blog/.