The recent discussions impacting
striped bass conservation, and the need to rebuild the spawning stock biomass by
the 2029 deadline imposed in the management plan, have been disappointing in
many respects.
But perhaps the most
disappointing thing about the debate is how the recreational fishing industry
has come together to oppose conservative management measures, in order to maintain their short-term profits and the status quo, while recreational fishermen, who have generally
shown concern for the health of the striped bass resource, have failed to find common
ground and instead have broken up into myriad factions, making it much more
likely that the industry will win the stasis that it is seeking, and that
the striped bass will lose.
Historically, the recreational
fishing industry, by which I mean both the for-hire fleet and at least the retail
side of the fishing tackle business, has opposed striped bass
conservation. Here in New York, that opposition
dates back to at least 1995, when the striped bass stock was first declared “fully
rebuilt” after it had collapsed a decade and a half before.
Amendment 5 to the Interstate Fishery Management Plan for Atlantic Striped Bass had just been released. It allowed states to drop their size limit
from the 34 inches permitted by the previous Amendment 4 to just 28 inches,
while allowing the bag limit to increase from one bass to two. While the comments received from most striped
bass fishermen and just about all of the striped bass fishing clubs asked that
New York maintain its 1-fish bag limit and 36-inch minimum size (because of
overwhelming angler sentiment expressed subsequent to Amendment 4’s adoption, New
York, like most other northeastern states, had never reduced its bag limit from
36 to 34 inches, even though Amendment 4 allowed it to do so), just about all
of the tackle shops and for-hire boats were demanding the most relaxed
regulations that Amendment 5 would allow, thinking that a relaxed regulatory
scheme would be better for business.
A long and very intense debate
ensued, in which tempers frequently frayed and voices were frequently raised,
the umbrella organization that supposedly represented both anglers and the
angling industry took the industry’s side against its member clubs (at the time,
the organization’s president took me aside and tried to explain that they had
to make the industry happy, as industry members made the contributions to the
organization’s auction that raised the funds that the organization depended to
fund it for the entire year) and as a result was almost put out of business,
friends were made as people came together, enmities festered as disagreements
deepened, and I somehow ended up as one of the spokesmen for the angling conservation
community, a post I have yet to
successfully escape.
In the end, the New York State
Department of Environmental Conservation, trying to give everyone what they
wanted, split the baby in half—or maybe in thirds—dropping the size limit to 28
inches and giving the for-hire boats a two-fish bag limit, while keeping the
bag limit at one for everyone else.
Throughout much of the northeast,
the story was the same, if without the baby-splitting, with a 28-inch bag limit
becoming the standard from New Hampshire to North Carolina (except, at times,
in New Jersey, who was finding a way to finesse a few more dead bass for
everyone).
It is probably no coincidence
that the 2018
benchmark stock assessment found that striped bass suffered from overfishing in
1996, and experienced overfishing in most of the years between then and 2017. Such overfishing,
which didn’t abate until 2020, is undoubtedly the main reason that the
striped bass stock remains overfished today.
We have since learned that, even with
striped bass recruitment reaching some of the highest levels ever recorded in
the late 1990s and early 2000s, a 28-inch minimum size and a two-fish bag limit was just not sustainable in the long term.
In the very early 2000s, the
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission’s Atlantic Striped Bass Management
Board was developing Amendment 6 to the Interstate Fishery Management Plan
for Atlantic Striped Bass, and a similar split between the recreational
fishing industry and the recreational fishermen occurred, which became particularly
nasty here in New York.
This time, the cause of the controversy
wasn’t a single proposed regulation, but the overall philosophy of striped bass
management. On one side stood those in
the commercial and recreational fishing industries who believed that striped
bass should be managed for yield, with a lower spawning stock biomass target
and a higher permissible fishing mortality, a situation which would lead to
higher landings of smaller bass, while removing most of the older, larger, and
most fecund females from the population.
“The distribution of age classes in a
population has important implications for stock productivity and stability. Studies on striped bass have shown that
larger fish produce larger eggs and larvae, and larger individuals of these
life stages have a greater chance of survival.
[references omitted]’
“The job’s not done until we BRING BACK
THE BIG BASS,”
began a grassroots campaign to
highlight the issue.
The campaign was contrary to
local industry hopes that, at a time when summer flounder regulations were
becoming more restrictive and winter flounder were disappearing, striped bass
regulations might be lenient enough to convert what had historically been a sport
fish targeted by a relatively small group of anglers into a panfish that might
replace some of the disappearing flounder, tautog and similar species in their
customers’ buckets.
The ASMFC scheduled an Amendment
6 hearing here in New York. Ahead of
that hearing, the local publisher of a now-defunct weekly fishing newspaper,
which was then available both in hard copy and on line, conducted an online
poll of his readers, to see which option they preferred. The response overwhelmingly favored the more
conservative, “bring back the big bass” position, and he testified to that
result at the hearing.
The industry response was both immediate
and extreme. The morning after the ASMFC
hearing, the publication was beset by calls from its advertisers, as for-hire
boats, tackle shops and marinas sought to punish the publisher for representing
his readers at the hearing, and not hewing to the industry’s party line. Thousands of dollars of advertising was
pulled, enough to force the publisher to partially recant in print by
supporting the for-hire’s privileged two-bass bag limit, and causing him to
withdraw from the conservation arena, where he had previously served as a
valuable and articulate spokesman.
“To perpetuate, through cooperative
interstate fishery management, migratory stocks of striped bass; to allow
commercial and recreational fisheries consistent with the long-term
maintenance of a broad age structure, a self-sustaining spawning stock,
and also to provide for the restoration and maintenance of their essential
habitat. [emphasis added]”
Amendment 6 also included, as one
of its objectives, to
“Manage fishing mortality to maintain an
age structure that provides adequate spawning potential to sustain long-term
abundance of striped bass populations.”
Now, as the December 16
Management Board meeting looms, and the possibility of rebuilding the spawning
stock remains in doubt, the recreational fishing industry is again setting
itself in opposition to concerned, conservation-minded anglers and the
long-term health of the striped bass population.
And this time, it’s pulling out some of its biggest guns.
The ASA’s position wasn’t
surprising, as one
of its spokesmen, Michael Waine (who once was the Fishery Management Plan
Coordinator for striped bass at the ASMFC) had already suggested that the striped
bass biomass target was too high, and that the ASMFC ought to seek some kind of
“balance” between rebuilding and allowing the public to access—that is, catch
and kill—striped bass in a podcast a few months ago.
In its comments, the ASA argues
that
“New stock projections show that the
current management measures are working to control fishing mortality and
achieve rebuilding by the 2029 deadline.
The new projections include lower recruitment assumptions to account for
the ongoing scenario of poor recruitment coming out of the Chesapeake Bay.
“The technical committee estimates that the
striped bass population is not currently experiencing overfishing and is below
F rebuild of 0.13 which is a fishing mortality target that accounts for
achieving rebuilding by 2029…
“…This demonstrates that the current
management plan is effective without requiring additional restrictions…”
It’s one of those examples where
telling a half-truth may be more effective than telling a lie, for everything
that the ASA alleged in the above statements—except for the last sentence—is undoubtedly
correct. But it’s what the ASA doesn’t
say that really matters.
“all three primary scenarios represent a
credible range of what might happen.”
With respect to the projection
cited by the ASA, which included an extra two-month “wave” of data, the Technical
Committee warned,
“While including additional data (i.e.,
adding Wave 4) is generally informative, the [Technical Committee and Stock
Assessment Subcommittee] notes that using Waves 2-4 to predict removals does
not always result in a more accurate estimate of final removals than using only
Waves 2-3.”
In other words, while the ASA cites
only one of three possible scenarios in support of its position, there are two
other scenarios, both just as likely to reflect reality, which contradict the
ASA’s claims.
Of course, the ASA didn’t mention
those two scenarios at all…
But that doesn’t mean that the
ASA doesn’t include an outright falsehood or two among its comments. Consider its statement that
“The narrow [28- to 31-inch] slot limit protected
the strong 2015-year class and is similarly expected to protect the 2018 above-average
year class in 2025.”
That assertion is just plain
wrong.
The 28- to 31-inch slot limit wasadopted in 2023, when the 2015 year class was eight years old. The mean size of an eight year old bass is 31.8 inches, meaning that less than half of the 2015s were still in the narrowed slot when it was adopted. However, the 2018 year class will only be seven years old in 2025. The mean size of a seven year old bass is 28.7 inches, meaning that more than half of the 2018s will be in the slot, and so targeted by the catch-and-kill fishery in 2025, and just under half will still be in the slot, and targeted again, in 2026.
Those two years of focused
catch-and-kill will result in a lot of the 2018s being removed from the population
before they can grow out of the slot.
It's what the ASA might call “increasing
angler access.” It’s what the rest of us
think of as reducing the size of the spawning stock. In fact, the American Sportfishing
Association wants to go farther and increase the striped bass
kill, as its comments make clear when it suggests that
“the ASMFC should consider adding
additional days to the recreational fishery to improve equity across
regions for both anglers who prefer to take a fish home for dinner or practice
catch and release. [emphasis added]”
The reason for that position is
clear as well:
“We urge you to avoid season closures that
would have unnecessary economic impacts on both anglers and the sportfishing
industry.”
Other industry organizations made
similar arguments. For example, the
New York Fishing Tackle Trade Association, which represents the state’s bait
and tackle dealers and wholesalers, argued that
“Conserving resources for the future is
not just managing the fishery from a conservation or regulatory approach, but
also accounting for the socioeconomic impact of such regulations and
maintaining fair and equitable access.”
While saying that conserving
resources for the future is not just about conservation seems like a dubious
and self-contradictory claim, and while NYFTTA, like ASA, is seeking to leave
striped bass regulations unchanged, the NYFTTA comments are actually a little
more rational, conceding that there might be a place for regulations that
appeared to be a little more equitable and a little better thought-out.
Still, NYFTTA, like the rest of
the industry, is supporting the most risk-prone position, although its
position is at least based in some semblance of reality, unlike that of the Marine
Trades Association of New Jersey, which was somehow able to write, with a
completely straight face, that
“the spawning stock biomass is robust,”
and
“the numbers and range of fish is
astounding.”
Predictably, most of the for-hire
fleet also opposed any change in striped bass management measures. Their comments differed in detail, but were
all some variation on the theme of, “We’ll lose money if we can’t kill as many
fish.”
Thus, the Cape Cod Charter Boat
Association talked about “a healthy striped bass population with great fishing,”
even if a peer-reviewed stock assessment update found the stock to still be
overfished, while the Captree [New York] Boatmen’s Association completely
disregarded the health of the stock and simply maintained that a proposed
closure sometime during the November/December period would be “devastating” to
their business.
The Connecticut Charter and Party
Boat Association calls the stock “robust” and whines that
“Every Striped Bass reduction has been on
the backs of those who need and want to harvest striped bass and 0 reductions
from the catch-n-release shareholders [sic],”
sentiments echoed by a group of
for-hire operators that calls itself the East Coast Fishing Coalition, which
also made the remarkable statement that
“It is unconventional to factor the 2018
year class as harvested fish prior to a season even beginning, on the basis
that they ‘may’ enter the current 28”-31” slot.
Without that factor there would be a 50-57% chance of being rebuilt by
2029.”
Which is something like saying, “If
we could ignore the fact that small fish are going to grow larger, we could
stop worrying about the 2018 year class growing big enough to be caught next
year…”
And then they complain that
“There just isn’t any room left to cut the
For Hire sector. There is nothing left
to fish for. Paying customers want to
harvest fish and eat them for dinner plain and simple. This has been built into the industry for
generations. Perhaps one day
catch-n-release will become mainstream, but present day is just a small
fraction of the customer base that find this acceptable.”
In making the statement, they
miss the irony that, if the striped bass isn’t rebuilt, and perhaps falls into
deeper decline in the near future, there will be even less to fish for, and
less for paying customers to harvest, while they also completely ignore the fact
that the ASMFC has
already admitted that
“The recreational [striped bass] fishery
is predominantly prosecuted as catch-and-release, meaning the majority of
striped bass caught are released alive either due to angler preference or regulation…Since
1990, roughly 90% of total annual striped bass catch is released alive…”
Given those facts, the striped
bass wouldn’t be one of, if not the, most important recreational species in the
northeast and mid-Atlantic if “just a small fraction” of anglers were willing
to participate in the catch-and-release fishery.
Yet the for-hire fleet keeps
making such assertions.
The spokesperson for the East
Hampton [New York] Town Fisheries Commission alleged that
“The implementation of the 2023
emergency action restricted the taking of striped bass and reduced income for
all the small businesses dependent on this one fish. Reports of up to a forty-percent loss in
income within the For-Hire fleet were made.”
And in truth, there
was a big drop in the number of for-hire trips made in New York,
but a quick look at the effort data provided by the National Marine Fisheries
Service will quickly show that the drop occurred well before the
emergency regulations were put in place in 2023. New
York for-hire trips dropped from nearly 400,000 to just over 270,000—about a 32%
reduction—between 2021 and 2022, a full year before the emergency regulations
were adopted. However, between 2022 and
2023, the year the emergency regulation went into effect, the number of for-hire
trips taken in the state only dropped by 3.15%, fairly persuasive evidence
that the emergency regulations did not have a significant impact on the for-hire
industry as a whole.
Other incredible claims were made
by the Montauk Boatmen and Captains Association, which operates out of East
Hampton, and made the impossible argument that
“Following the striped bass emergency
action that was implemented in 2022, which introduced a 28” to 35” slot striped
bass, we began to see a downturn in business.”
Such statement is completely contrary
to a couple of facts, first that the
28- to 35-inch slot was introduced in 2020, not 2022, as part of Addendum VI
to Amendment 6 to the Interstate Fishery Management Plan for Atlantic Striped
Bass, and second that the
emergency action the MBCA complained about was introduced in 2023, not 2022.
An organization incapable of
getting such basic facts straight, and which tried to tie supposed declines in
business to a completely and demonstrably false timeline, should be granted no
credibility at all.
I could go on quoting the various
comments made by the various for-hire groups, but whether we are talking about
the North Fork [of Long Island, New York] Captains Association, or the Rhode
Island Party and Charter Boat Association, or the Stellwagen Bank
[Massachusetts] Charter Boat Association, they are all variations on the same
theme: There are plenty of bass in the
ocean, we need to kill fish to make money, and that the bass will do fine without
any additional management (and if they don’t do too well, it’s not our fault).
In other words, it’s about the
same argument being made by the fishing tackle and marine trades organizations,
all of which are in vehement opposition to any meaningful striped bass
conservation effforts.
Which puts them in sharp
opposition to the majority of anglers, who understand that the bass is at risk
and are urging the ASMFC to do something about it.
While the anglers aren’t all on
the same page about what needs to be done, at least most understand the need
for action, making comments such as
“I remember the days when the striped bass
stock was severely depleted and do not want to see those days again,”
“[I]f effective and enforceable measures
are not taken now to reduce harvest and protect 2015 and 2018 spawners, it is
almost certain that fishing mortality will increase not just next season but
possibly for years to come, putting at further risk the most valuable sport
fish on the East Coast. That is a risk
not worth taking.”
And
“Taking immediate, conservative, and
risk-averse actions at this point is required.
That means hard choices and real action, not milquetoast measures or
business as usual.”
The positions taken by the
majority of the recreational fishing industry and by the majority of
recreational fishermen could not be more different, and stand in complete
opposition. There is little to no room
for compromise.
If the industry wins, the
anglers, and the bass, will lose, and the consequences of that loss could echo
for years. And the industry, left with a
less vital ocean that is far less attractive to anglers, will lose in the
end as well.
Ironically, if the industry loses
this current fight that they’re trying so hard to win, they prevail in the battle that
matters, as a restored striped bass population encourages anglers to fish, and
to fish more often, and in so doing makes them more likely to patronize the very businesses that are trying
to throttle needed conservation efforts.
The benefits of conservation,
and a restored striped bass stock, would be easy to see, if only the industry
wasn’t blind.
As usual history repeats itself. Keep in mind that the biological reference points for striped bass are not the typical based on analytical estimates of MSY. Instead they were developed based on model estimates of SSB using MD juvenile indices with the period of the 1960’s, early 1970’s as the baseline. Those years were chosen because the MD JAI was generally good and people were satisfied with the catch and size structure. When the population was determined as restored, an additional buffer was added but the basis has remained the same ( based on 1995 when SSB was equal to the average of the 1960’s). Ironically, the period following those baseline years was a decade plus of poor recruitment. Sounds a lot like what we are now experiencing. Also, if you look at the relationship between SSB and recruitment in the recent assessment ( the stock/recruitment which is actually quite good by comparison to other species), we are at the point where the likelihood of above average recruitment declines quickly. Sounds a lot like the 1970.s…..
ReplyDeleteThanks for responding. I remember speaking with you more than once 20-something years ago, during the runup to Amendment 6.
DeleteI'm always curious why the population model keeps generating what are deemed "unrealistic" reference points. Asked our state technical committee rep about it, but she couldn't explain the reason for it, just that they weren't considered usable. After the 2027 benchmark, I'll undoubtedly ask our new TC rep the same question, and see if anything changes (although there's talk of using a new model, so if that happens, maybe the reference points it generates will be adopted; we'll have to wait and see about that).
And yes, it is starting to look a lot like the '70s. I fished through that time, and it's starting to feel a lot like '78. I keep telling myself that we have better management programs in place today, but I'm not completely convinced that managers are willing to make the hardest choices.