As many readers of this blog already know, on
May 7, President Trump issued the “Executive Order on American Seafood Competitiveness
and Economic Growth,” which, among other things, directed the Secretary of
Commerce to
“request each Regional Fishery Management Council to submit,
within 180 days of the date of this order, a prioritized list of recommended
actions to reduce burdens on domestic fishing and increase the production
within sustainable fisheries, including a proposal for initiating each
recommended action within 1 year of the date of this order.”
Although the Executive Order made no distinction between
commercial and recreational fisheries, the feeling at the time that it was
issued was that it was not directed at the recreational sector. A
press release issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
stated that one purpose of the Executive Order was
“Regulatory reform to maximize commercial fishing, [emphasis added]”
“discussed whether it would be appropriate to include
recreational-focused recommendations in the Council’s response [to the
Executive Order] and ultimately agreed that nothing in the EO precludes
recreational issues…the Committee directed staff to develop two additional
recommendations to address (1) the Council’s ongoing Recreational Reform
Initiative and any resulting actions, and (2) a request for clarification
regarding the application of the Modernizing Recreational Fisheries Act within
the constraints of National Standard 1 guidelines.”
While neither of those issues necessarily create problems,
largely because Council actions will remain subject to the provisions of the Magnuson-Stevens
Fishery Conservation and Management Act, they need to be monitored closely,
because there are Council members, and various industry and “anglers’ rights”
organizations, who are intent on using both as vehicles to undercut the
Council’s generally good record on fisheries conservation and management.
I
wrote about the Council’s “Recreational Reform Initiative” a few weeks ago. Pursuant to that initiative, the Council is
looking at a lot of things that, if addressed correctly, could prove
worthwhile, particularly new statistical approaches that will allow scientists
to better address imprecise or inadequate data.
It’s also considering changing recreational specifications—the annual catch limit, recreational harvest limit, and similar factors that are used to set regulations—less often, to coincide with stock assessment updates rather than on an annual basis.
At one
time, I would have opposed such an idea, as the Council typically assesses
stocks on about a five year basis, and five years is a long time to go before
taking a look at whether fish are being adequately protected, particularly in
the case of stocks which are overfished or declining in abundance. However, the
Council now plans to update the bluefish, summer flounder, scup, and black sea
bass assessments every two years, and so long as it keeps to that schedule,
setting specifications after each update should not be unduly risky.
“One Monitoring Committee member noted that it could be
difficult to explain to stakeholders why they may have to forego potential liberalizations
in the interim years under this approach. [emphasis added]”
There were no reported concerns of having to explain why, if the
Council (and the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission, which is the
Council’s partner in the reform endeavor) failed to implement more restrictive
measures in the face of what might be a quickly declining stock, it shouldn't also be concerned with public opinion, particularly if such inaction caused a stock to become overfished.
Such asymmetrical concerns—worrying about the consequences of
not allowing anglers to kill more fish when the stock is expanding, but not seeming particularly concerned about failing to rein in the kill when the same stock
declines—says a lot about what, and who, is driving the “recreational reform”
movement at the Council.
While professional fisheries managers may be driving the
effort for better statistical approaches to utilizing imperfect data, the drive
for “flexibility,” and getting around the strict application of data-based
recreational harvest limits, is largely being supported by various elements of
the recreational fishing industry, including some industry voices who sit on
the Council and ASMFC. As is often the case
which such efforts, industry proponents of recreational reform seem far
more concerned with the short-term economic impacts of fisheries management
than on the long-term health of fish stocks.
Thus, at least some aspects of the reform initiative are
tainted by a bias toward increasing or, at best, maintaining harvest levels,
rather than toward taking prompt action to reduce landings if such action is in
the best interests of the fish stock.
“most liberal measures preferred by anglers when biomass is
high,”
while regulations for an overfished stock would be the
“most restrictive measures that could be tolerated without
major loss of business,”
whether or not such measures, while grudgingly accepted by
business, would be restrictive enough to be tolerated by a stock of fish that
was already overdue for meaningful regulation.
I raised that point at a recent meeting of a committee of
the National Academy of Sciences, that was convened to consider the Marine
Recreational Information Program, used to estimate anglers’ effort, catch, and
landings, and possible use of “alternative” fishery management measures. It turned out that a proponent of the control
rule approach, who is also a member of the Council and a delegate to the ASMFC,
took exception to my comments.
He said that the lower bound of the control rule, to be used when a stock is overfished, wasn’t merely the most restrictive regulations that could be “tolerated without major loss of business,” but also those that would be used when, as he explained it, more restrictive regulations wouldn’t rebuild the fishery.
He used the overfished weakfish stock as an example.
And that, too, demonstrated why
the control rule proposal is a bad idea; it would allow members of the Council or
ASMFC, who have no scientific training but do have industry affiliations, and not qualified fisheries biologists, decide when more restrictive management
measures won’t do any good.
Because he got the weakfish story a little bit wrong.
A
2009 stock assessment found the stock to be badly “depleted,” due not to
overfishing but to a sharp increase in natural mortality. The stock assessment noted that
“little stock growth is possible with
current high mortality levels, even under a harvest moratorium. This is because current fishing mortality
represents a small component of total mortality, thus reducing the management ‘leverage’
considerably.”
My non-science-minded critic, I
suppose, took that to mean that additional management measures wouldn’t do the
weakfish any good. But that’s not
exactly what the scientists said. In
fact, information provided in the assessment indicated that, for two out of the
three levels of natural mortality considered, if a moratorium was imposed in
2009, by 2020 the stock would be more than twice the size it would be under
status quo management.
“If we have a moratorium we double the
current biomass and we get approximately, well, a little over halfway, towards
our target spawning stock biomass. If
natural mortality decreases for any good reason, then obviously we will be
rebuilding faster than the projections indicate. So it’s easy for me to say…that a moratorium
seems to be the right way to go, but that’s the conclusion I draw.”
That’s the difference between
a scientist looking at the data, and coming to a reasoned conclusion about how
to best manage the stock, and an untrained layman with industry connections
looking at the same data, and making the possibly self-serving decision that
further management measures—management measures greater what “could be
tolerated by business”—will to be no avail.
And that’s why key management
decisions, such as harvest levels, need to be set by formally-trained fisheries
managers, and not the untrained members of management bodies. One sees the data, and acts accordingly,
while the other sees what he or she wants to see, and acts in accord with his
or her supposed best interests.
Yet by incorporating the Council’s Recreational Reform Initiative
into the list of matters that falls under the Executive Order, which makes no
bones about the fact that it emphasizes “economic growth,” there is the risk
that the focus of management could shift from the health of fish stocks to
short-term profits, and give the untrained amateurs too much authority to decide issues better decided by experts.
Incorporating the Modernizing Recreational Fisheries
Management Act (Modern Fish Act) issues into the list of matters impacted by
the Executive Order is far less problematic, because the
Modern Fish Act always was about elevating the short-term desires of anglers
and the angling industry above the long-term health of fish stocks. Although the
version of the Modern Fish Act ultimately adopted by Congress was far less malign than some of its earlier iterations,
it was all about the recreational sector killing more fish—mostly red snapper—than
they were allowed to kill before.
“the authority to use fishery management measures in a
recreational fishery (or the recreational component of a mixed-use fishery) in
developing a fishery management plan, plan amendment, or proposed regulations, such
as extraction rates, fishing mortality targets, harvest control rules, or
traditional or cultural practices of native communities in such fishery or
fishery component.”
It’s not surprising that the Council is seeking
clarification of such language, because nothing in Magnuson-Stevens, and
nothing in the Guidelines that the National Marine Fisheries Service has
published to assist such regional fishery management councils to comply with
Magnuson-Stevens, suggests that such management measures couldn't be used before—so
long as such measures don’t allow overfishing, provide for the timely
rebuilding of overfished stocks, don’t lead to the annual catch limit being
exceeded, and provide for fishermen to be held accountable for excessive
landings.
The Modern Fish Act doesn’t change those requirements at
all, as Section 301 of that law specifically provides that
“Nothing in this Act shall be construed as modifying the requirements of sections 301(a), 302(h)(6), 202(a)(15), or 304(e), or the equal application of such requirements and other standards and requirements under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act (16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq.) to commercial, charter, and recreational fisheries, including each component of mixed-use fisheries.”
Given that language, which seems to make the previously quoted
provision of the Modern Fish Act largely pointless, one might expect the
Council to seek a bit of guidance.
But, once again, what might seem like a routine inquiry could
give rise for concern when it’s made in connection with an Executive Order that
raises economic considerations over concerns for healthy and sustainable fish
stocks.
Which, in the end, points out why we need a strong and clearly-worded
Magnuson-Stevens, that makes conservation its first priority, implicitly
recognizing that the U.S. can only have healthy fisheries if it first enjoys
fish stocks that are sustainable in the long term.
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